Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#144
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#141
Pace62.3#304
Improvement+2.1#80

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#158
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#96
Layup/Dunks+4.8#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#325
Freethrows+0.6#146
Improvement-1.4#245

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#148
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#294
Layups/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#292
Freethrows+2.1#60
Improvement+3.4#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 165   Wright St. L 81-85 64%     0 - 1 -6.5 +2.4 -8.7
  Nov 14, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 65-90 11%     0 - 2 -10.4 -6.9 -2.1
  Nov 18, 2016 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 101-83 80%     1 - 2 +10.3 +30.0 -19.0
  Nov 21, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 73-63 76%     2 - 2 +3.9 +3.5 +1.0
  Nov 25, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 45-57 10%     2 - 3 +3.2 -12.3 +14.1
  Nov 29, 2016 202   Murray St. W 89-85 OT 72%     3 - 3 -0.8 +6.3 -7.3
  Dec 03, 2016 220   Texas Southern W 74-70 76%     4 - 3 -2.3 +9.3 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2016 7   @ Louisville L 51-74 4%     4 - 4 -1.2 -9.4 +7.4
  Dec 10, 2016 246   Sam Houston St. L 73-79 80%     4 - 5 -13.7 +4.2 -18.2
  Dec 14, 2016 244   Saint Louis W 70-55 80%     5 - 5 +7.5 +10.6 +0.0
  Dec 19, 2016 231   @ UNLV L 61-68 62%     5 - 6 -8.9 -6.5 -2.9
  Dec 22, 2016 211   Tennessee Martin W 78-70 74%     6 - 6 +2.4 +6.4 -3.3
  Dec 29, 2016 199   @ Bradley L 51-60 53%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -8.6 -12.2 +2.2
  Jan 01, 2017 255   Drake W 83-69 81%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +6.0 +4.7 +1.3
  Jan 04, 2017 191   Indiana St. W 80-74 OT 69%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +2.0 +2.0 -0.5
  Jan 07, 2017 130   @ Missouri St. W 75-67 38%     9 - 7 3 - 1 +12.3 +10.3 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 53-60 30%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -0.3 -5.9 +4.7
  Jan 14, 2017 154   @ Evansville W 73-61 43%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +15.1 +4.0 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2017 255   @ Drake L 84-88 OT 65%     10 - 9 4 - 3 -6.9 +9.1 -16.0
  Jan 21, 2017 153   Northern Iowa L 57-58 62%     10 - 10 4 - 4 -3.0 +5.6 -8.9
  Jan 24, 2017 9   @ Wichita St. L 45-87 4%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -20.9 -15.5 -7.5
  Jan 28, 2017 130   Missouri St. W 85-84 OT 58%     11 - 11 5 - 5 +0.2 +10.1 -9.9
  Feb 01, 2017 199   Bradley W 85-65 71%     12 - 11 6 - 5 +15.3 +24.9 -6.5
  Feb 04, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago W 67-61 30%     13 - 11 7 - 5 +12.7 +10.9 +3.0
  Feb 08, 2017 153   @ Northern Iowa L 41-49 42%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -4.9 -18.5 +12.4
  Feb 11, 2017 154   Evansville L 70-75 62%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -7.0 -1.4 -5.7
  Feb 15, 2017 9   Wichita St. L 68-87 9%     13 - 14 7 - 8 -3.0 +4.5 -8.0
  Feb 19, 2017 191   @ Indiana St. W 74-68 51%     14 - 14 8 - 8 +7.0 +7.3 +0.0
  Feb 22, 2017 59   @ Illinois St. L 46-50 16%     14 - 15 8 - 9 +7.8 -7.8 +14.8
  Feb 25, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 72-70 48%     15 - 15 9 - 9 +3.6 +10.3 -6.4
  Mar 03, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 55-50 39%     16 - 15 +9.2 -15.0 +24.3
  Mar 04, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 50-63 22%     16 - 16 -3.7 -4.8 -1.4
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%